Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. You can start the series by clicking HERE. By that definition, Ive just proven that you are a miracle. In other words, as this infographic figures it,. You may think You say that to everyone!. Then he looked at the chances of them talking, of meeting again, of forming a long-term relationship, of having kids together, and of the right egg and the right sperm combining to make you. It is like finding out how many angels can stand on a pin-head! A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. So far, so good. Dr. Ali Binazir, who describes himself as a happiness engineer, thinks its way off the mark. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the waterin the middle of that life preserver. However, your existence presupposes another supremely unlikely chain of events. Click the image to enlarge it and check their numbers: Of course, there are poets who argue exactly the opposite: that each of us is fated to exist, that there is a plan, and that all of us are expected. In other words, when seen in the aggregate, that probability is simply stating that it is very hard to predict _who_ will exist and not that someone will. In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (410 14). We might not all like the cards we were dealt in life, but it is our choice to play what weve been given or to go on blaming our lot which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. I'm Heidi, I'm a writer, a mama and a sober recovery teacher/mentor. What Does Jesus Mean When He Says We Must Be Salted with Fire. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. Then, I hope and believe, that He has written my name on the palm of His hand, so whenever He looks at His hand, He thinks of me. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? dr ali binazir odds of being bornmartin et julien bouchet biathlon. The likelihood that improbable events occur is controlled by the scale of the Universe. The first single-cell organism emerging from an inanimate chemical soup is not something that could have happened by chance. That means that in every step of your lineage, the exact the right sperm had to fertilize the exact right egg such that you would ultimately be created. Has anybody ever said to you Youre one in a million? But now, as long as I'm musing about insane probabilities, I thought I'd delve a little into the odds of us even being born and what that took! Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. "It is a part of probability that many improbable things will happen.. -- from "Love at First Sight", Wislawa Szymborska, The End and The Beginning, 1993. Onward to freedom! Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. By that definition, Ive just shown that you are a miracle, he wrote. Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or about 1 in 700 trillion. You get the volume of planet Earth. So now we must account for those 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000 power: That's a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes the size of my book. Now lets get down to some of the biological details: each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. They each roll the dice -- and they all come up the exact same number -- say, 550,343,279,001. God has always known us, intended us, loved us, and planned for us. Or stalk me (with love.). Thats a pretty straightforward calculation. Binazir recounted this Buddhist analogy: Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. Youre not just one in a million, youre one in a 102,685,000. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 10 2,685,000. Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. That probability is low but the presence of super-novae throughout the cosmos is not. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe its larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. Now things start getting interesting. Awe and wonderment at merely being alive on even a bad or boring day makes perfect sense. The great mystery of our existence stretches back in time into the very heart and mind of God who has always known and loved us, has prepared for us and made a way for us. You have lived your life. In a 2011 HuffPost article, he set about calculating the likelihood of each of us being born. If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. Let's say a life preserver's hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside about 0.5 square meter. Here's Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. The odds against 26 blacks in a row are about 66 million to one against; however, previous results have absolutely no effect on subsequent ones. The Nobel Prize winning poet Wislawa Szymborska once wrote about two lovers who liked to think they'd met entirely by chance, but no, she says, there was nothing chancy about it. When you do the math, which I didnt but Dr. Binazir did: That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion.. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull.. One of the talks was by Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author and life coach with a syndicated radio show. But, once we are born, we have an incredible opportunity to create our future . This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. On top of that, to be born in a first-world country, the odds are even smaller. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. The moon is about 240,000 miles from the Earth. However, as the astute who do exist will have observed, extremely improbable events do actually occur. You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 1 in 2. But lets make it longer. Visions in Lent: Family Life As a Seen in a Rock Tumbler. As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. And worry and fear? He attended the Ted Talk and wrote about it afterward, doing his own calculations on how likely your existence is. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. Please pass this post along. But, doesnt that seem a bit low? Now before you start telling your parents that they could have traded any of your younger siblings for the lottery winnings, your siblings are miracles too! So, thats 28,800 events a day, adding up to a million in 35 days. I think that was exactly Msgr. Even if they couldn't read them yet. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. I was toying with this other idea, about an owl who falls in love with a cat and brings it mice every day. whump prompts generator > mecklenburg county, va indictments 2021 > dr ali binazir odds of being born. You may quibble with some of the Binazirs assumptions above. Step 3. Dr. Ali Binazir Specializes In Dating/Being Single Support, Empowering Women, NLP, Phobias/OCD And Wellness And Is Located In San Francisco, CA. So, round-trip time works out to be about 14 yearsfor the fly to go to the moon and back. Its maddening to see people worry so much. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. If you assume the current population is 1% of the history of humanity, the total number of combinations increases to 1.1 x 10^39. Or is it much too early in the week, this being only Monday, for thinking about stuff like this? So, the combined probability is already only about 1 in 40 million. That is incredibly unlikely to the point of impossible. The odds of being born are less than the total number of atoms in the known universe! He goes further back to look at the probability of all your ancestors successfully mating, and of all the right sperm meeting all the right eggs to make each one of those ancestors. And lets say the fly decides to bring the ENTIRE MOON back to the Earth, one grain of sand at a time. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. Thats 150,000 generations. It has over 40,000 names organized into different categories, including Unisex, Boys Names, and Girls Names. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. Its like winning a free ticket to the the best party in the world. That's a pretty straightforward calculation. Well surely reply you within 48 hours. Are they gross exaggerations? And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. An unimaginably long time. To say that we are contingent beings is a vast understatement. If we really took it in we would fall on our knees with rapture and tears of gratitude. For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. Well then, that would be one in 2150,000 , which is about 1 in 1045,000 a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. Part of HuffPost Wellness. Which one's bigger? HubPages is a registered trademark of The Arena Platform, Inc. Other product and company names shown may be trademarks of their respective owners. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. He wrote that a supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events had to take place before the sperm with half your name on it met up with the egg with the other half. In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (41014). Its so unlikely, its almost impossible that youre here and taking a breath right now. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. Step 2. enough to delve into higher mathematics discover there are many tripwires ahead of them. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. You are living a life you should mathematically not have ever had. Dr. Ali Binazir took it further. The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. Step 1. The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. But let's think about this some more. Lets say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause dont count. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. This alone should boost any lingering low self-esteem quite a bit. The learned professor was actually pulling everyones legs, but Littlewoods Law has been conscripted as proof of a number of strange theories. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. Dr. Ali Binazir illustrates the extremely unlikely chain of events that would have to occur in order for you to be born with this . Borels Law has since been enlisted by creationists and evolutionists alike to bolster their arguments. I would caution anyone from drawing a religiously-minded conclusion from these probabilities and heres why: While the probability of any one of us existing is very low, the probability that 350 million humans existing in the United States is very high. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are., Buddhists have talked of the preciousness of this incarnation. Were we meant to be, each and every one of us? Fortunately, just such a person is poised at the keyboard right now, so lets get started. But Im not mathy. I hope you use your chance well. The odds of you existing have been calculated by Dr. Ali Binazir. In other words, as this infographic figures it, you are totally improbable.